NEW-DEVELOPMENTAL THEORY (NDT)

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2014. The 2008 global financial crisis took the world by surprise, not least because politicians, businessmen and economists believed that they had learned crucial lessons from the Great Depression of the 1930s. As a direct result of deregulated financial markets, financial crises occurred in both developed and developing economies. However, this volume argues that in the most recent crisis developing countries suffered less, and that financial policy and regulation played a crucial part in this. (Book edited with Jan Kregel and Leonardo Burlamaqui )

2011. The Euro Zone faces a major crisis. It is trated as if it were a fiscal crisis but, actually, is a currency crisis. Meanwhile Brazil faces difficulties, but there is some progress in understanding the role of the exdhange rate. (Conference)

2012. Artigos publicados na imprensa, principalmente em minha coluna quinzenal na Folha de S. Paulo, entre 15.2.2010 e 5 de junho de 2012. Nesses artigos eu radicalizei a análise à medida em que fui compreendendo a gravidade da crise. O turning point para mim ocorreu quando, no artigo de 21 de novembro de 2011, dei-me conta de qual fora o erro fundamental dos países criadores do euro: eles substituíram suas moedas nacionais por uma moeda estrangeira.

2010. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Siglo XXI). Available In bookstores

2009. Why some middle income countries catch up while others do not. Behind new developmentalism this book drafts a structuralist development macroeconomics in which the exchange rate plays a strategic role. (Book: Elsevier).Disponível nas livrarias

2008. With Lauro Gonzales e Cláudio Lucinda. Differently of what says conventional economic analysis, the cause of the 1990s financial crises in Mexico, Asia, Brazil and Argentina was not primarily fiscal, but the decision of governments to grow with foreign savings, i.e., with current account deficits. (Paper in Nova Economia).

2005. The balance of payment crises in developing countries (originated in the strategy of growth with foreign savings) and the enormous US current account deficit are both the outcome of economic populism. The later problem points out to a hard landing. English version available.(Paper: Estudos Econômicos) .