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A quase-estagnação do Brasil e o novo desenvolvimentismo

  • autor: Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira

2022. This paper explains the two long-term causes of 40 years of quasi-stagnation of the Brazilian economy: the liberalization trap, which eliminated the neutralization of the Dutch disease and made the exchange rate overvalued and the fall in public investments. (Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)

The Political Construction of Brazil

2017. An encompassing analysis of Brazil's society, economy, and politics since the Independence. A national-dependent interpretation. In the bookstores and in kindle

A armadilha da liberalização: Por que a América Latina parou nos anos 1980, enquanto o Leste da Ásia continuou a crescer?

2020. Latin America was not caught in the 'middle-income trap" but into the "1980s' liberalization trap", while East Asia overcome its middle-income condition and are today rich countries, or, in the case of China, heading to become so. (Paper BJPE)

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40 anos de desindustrialização

2019. The Brazilian economy is deindustrializing and quasi-stagnant for 40 years. The main economic and political causes and what must be done. (essay: Jornal dos Economistas. English Version available

A Construção Política e Econômica do Brasil

2021. An encompassing analysis of Brazil's society, economy, and politics since the Independence. A national-dependent interpretation. (Book: Editora 34, updated 4th edition, 2021). Nas livrarias e Em kindle.

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Remando contra a maré: novo desenvolvimentismo e interesse nacional

2016. Long interview of Bresser-Pereira to Alvaro Comin e Paulo Todescan Mattos for Plural, journal from USP's graduate program in sociology.

Além do ajuste, um acordo político

2015. Brazil needs a social class coalition which have as economic priority an exchange rate floating around the "industrial" or competitive equilibrium. This is the only way to stop deindustrialization. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).

Prefácio de A Desindustrialização Brasileira

2013. Prefácio do livro organizado por André Felipe Zago de Azevedo, Carmem Feijó e Daniel Arruda Coronel.

Desindustrialização - Troca de mensagens com A. Nassif, E. Araujo e C.Feijó

2012. An e-mail conversation on the subject. The power of good theory.

Desprotecionismo e desindustrialização (Valor, 29.3.12)

2012. Pode-se discutir o câmbio adequado, mas a apreciação é grande, a indústria perde terreno e o país cresce pouco (Article: Valor)

Corremos o risco de crise nas contas externas (Estado, 24.12.10)

2010. O Brasil sofre de doença holandesa, que provoca a desindustrialização da economia. Nosso desafio é neutralizar a sobreapreciação do câmbio (Entrevista a Raquel Landim).

Brasil vive desindustrialização (Folha, 29.8.10)

2010. Mesmo com economistas negando, fatia da indústria no PIB nacional é bem menor do que há 25 anos (Article: Folha de S.Paulo)

Desindustrialização - Troca de cartas com Miguel Bruno

2010. Troca de cartas com Miguel Bruno.

Taxa de câmbio, doença holandesa, e industrialização

2010. The Brazilian economy is undergoing deindustrialization due to a chronic overvaluation of the real. The structural development macroeconomics that I have been developing since the early 2000s explains why. (Cadernos FGV Projetos)

Doença holandesa e desindustrialização (Valor, 25.11.09)

2009. Uma doença holandesa moderada e a consequente desindustrialização são evidente. Nega-se o fato porque no momento em que isto for reconhecido não restará alternativa senão mudar a política cambial. Valor Econômico, 25.11.2009

Existe doença holandesa no Brasil?

2008. With Nelson Marconi. In Brazil the Dutch disease is not as serious as in oil countries, but it is sufficiently serious to cause gradual deindustrialization. Paper in edited book. (Paper in Doença Holandesa e Indústria)

Crescimento e desindustrialização (Folha, 10.3.08)

2008. The manufacturing industry is growing while it is prematurely desindustrializing due to moderate but not neutralized Dutch disease. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo).

Developing Brazil - Overcoming the Failure of the Washington Consensus (BOOK, 2009)

2009. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system; a first attempt to build new-developmental macroeconomics. (This book is an atualized version of Macroeconomia da Estagnação). Available in bookstores

Macroeconomia da Estagnação - Crítica da ortodoxia convencional no Brasil pós-1994 (Book, 2007)

2007. An encompassing analysis of the Brazilian macroeconomic system. A first presentation of the developmental macroeconomics. Why Brazil failed to grow fast after the Real Plan. (Book: Editora 34) Out of print; availble in this site. English version available: Developing Brazil (2009).

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Neutralização da doença holandesa (Valor, 31.05.07)

2007. The competent neutralization of the Dutch disease requires an export contribution on the goods that profit from abudandant and cheap natural resources. Such contributibution must be marginal, keep high profits of producers, while moves upward the supply curve of the product and limits apreciation of the real. The money of the contribution should be used to create a stabilization fund for primary commodities. (Article: Valor).