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A Inflação Decifrada

Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira

Revista de Economia Política, 16(3) outubro 1996: 20-35.

This paper is an account of the intellectual process that led, in the early 1 980s, to the definition of a new economic theory - the theory inertial inflation - and to the proposal of heterodox policies to deal with this type of high and chronic inflation, that, in intensity terms, stays between moderate or usual inflation and hyperinflation. The theory says that this type of inflation is the consequence of phased or staggered price adjustments. Economic agents are involved in an endless process of balancing and unbalancing relative prices, as they keep up with the going inflation, formally or informally indexing their prices. To fight this type of inflation orthodox or conventional fiscal and monetary policies are insufficient. In addition it is necessary to adopt a heterodox mechanism that neutralizes inertia, making possible to stop inflation. It is part of a book in preparation where the author reports his experience as finance minister of Brazil in 1987.