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Papers

   
  Documentos 361 a 396 de 396
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A função investimento e a eficiência marginal do capital
1973.
O novo modelo brasileiro de desenvolvimento
1973. The "new development model" begins in Brazil in the late 1960s, and later I called "modelo de subdesenvolvimento industrializado". Contrarily to what Celso Furtado predicted, income concetration benefiting the middle classes was behind the resumption of growth as it made aggregate demand consistent with the production of luxury consumption goods by multinationals. Spanish and English versions available. This paper elaborates on the 1970 article, "Dividir ou multiplicar: A distribuição da renda e a recuperação da economia brasileira". (Paper: Revista Dados)
The post-1966 expansion and the new model
1970/73 [1984]. This chapter 7 of Development and Crisis in Brazil: 1930-1983 (1984) corresponds to "Dividir ou multiplicar?" (1970) and to "O novo modelo brasileiro de desenvolvimento" (1973). It claims that the Brazilian "economic miracle" that beggins in 1967 signalled a new model of development export oriented and making consistent aggregate demand and supply of luxury goods by concentrating income from the middle class upwards. (Chapter 7 of Development and Crisis in Brazil: 1930-1983)
Dividir ou multiplicar? A distribuição da renda e a recuperação da economia brasileira
1970. My first analysis of the "new development model" that begins in Brazil in the late 1960s. Contrarily to what Furtado predicted, income concetration benefiting the middle classes was behind the resumption of growth as it made aggregate demand consistent with the production of luxury consumption goods by multinationals. "O novo modelo de desenvolvimento" (1973) elaborates on this paper. (Paper: Visão)
A decisão de investir, os lucros e os juros
1970. Adopting a classical perspective, this paper argues that variations in the expected profit rate and the corresponding shifts of the marginal efficiency of capital curve are more important in explaining investments than variations in the interest rate. I further developed this analysis in "Acumulação de capital, lucros e juros". (Paper: Texto para Discussão)
Elasticidade-lucro das vendas
1970. The reduction of the profit margin will only compensate if sales increase more than proportionally. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas).
A revolução estudantil
1968. The student revolution will transform the capitalist society. It is a middle class, intellectual and utopian revolution. (Essay in Tecnoburocracia e Contestação)
Da macroeconomia clássica à macroeconomia Keynesiana
1968 [1976]. A critique of microeconomics, and an analysis of the transition from classical to Keynesian macroeconomics.(Apostila FGV/SP, 42 pages)
Political development, and the crisis of the populist alliance
1968. ISEB's political model based on the aliance of the national bourgeoisie with the workers and the bureaucrats was correct. Yet, historical new facts led to the collapse of the populist and national-developmentalist pact and to the political crisis of 1961-64. (Chapter 4 of Development and Crisis in Brazil).
The concept of development, and the National Revolution
1968. Development defined as involving a Industrial and a National Revolution. (Chapter 1 of Development and Crisis in Brazil,1968)
A teoria econômica e os países subdesenvolvidos
1967. General economic theory does not apply to underdeveloped countries. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Modelo de desenvolvimento econômico a dois setores
1967. An adaptation of Singer's model to middle income countries. The rate of development depends on the velocity the transference of man poer from agriculture to manufacturing. Given product/capital relation of 0.5 for manufacturing and 0.25 for agriculture, and 3% population growth, the investment rate required for a per capita GDP growth of 3% is 18.2% of GDP.(Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
O administrador profissional e as perspectivas da sociedade brasileira
1966. Given the existence of a large middle classe, democracy's restoration is inevitable. In this process, Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs must associate themselves with the new business managers that are emerging and develop a national development strategy that should be democratic and socially progressive. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Brazil: ethnic and social origins of the industrial entrepreneurs
1964. My 1962 research demonstrated that the Paulista industrialists that led the Brazilian industrialization were, mostly, descendants of middle class immigrants, not from coffee planters. ( Published Portuguese version available. (Paper: this English version only published here)
Origens étnicas e sociais do empresário paulista
1964. My 1962 research demonstrated that the Paulista industrialists that led the Brazilian industrialization were, mostly, descendants of middle class immigrants, not from coffee planters. English version available only in this site. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Inflação e lucros da empresa (A coreção monetária de balanços)
1964. With Sylvio Luiz Bresser-Pereira. The indexation or monetary correction of financial statements. A proposal. See also 1976 article. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Os três tipos de propaganda
1963. There are three types of adverting: information adverting, repetion advertising, and emotion and enchantment advertising. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
O empresário industrial e a Revolução Brasileira
1963. Since 1930 Brazilian entrepreneurs associated themselves with workers and public bureaucrats to promote Brazilian industrialization. Yet, in the 1950s historical new facts conduced to the collapse of this developmental political pact, and the breaking up of a major political crisis. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Centralização e Descentralização
1963. The concepts of centralization and decentralization discussed.(Chapter 3 of Introdução à Organização Burocrática)
O processo de descentralização
1963. Alfred Slowan's model of functional descentralized organization (today called "matricial organization") clearly presented.(Chapter 4 of Introdução à Organização Burocrática).
The rise of middle class and middle management in Brazil
1962. A new salaried middle class is emerging in Brazil as a consequence of the Industrial Revolution that began in 1930. The Portuguese version appeared as Chapter 3 of Desenvolvimento e Crise no Brasil (1968). (Paper: Journal of Inter-American Studies).
Desenvolvimento econômico e o empresário
1962. In contemporary capitalism Schumpeterian entrepreneurs remain significant, but in the large business enterprises innovation is the outcome of senior executives colectively involved in entrepreneurial activity. (Paper: Revista de Administração de Empresas)
Programming marketing effort
1961. The characteristics of a marketing program discussed. (Term paper: Michigan State University)
A philosophy of economic development for a Brazilian school of business administration
1961. A Brazilian business school like FGV/SP should have an explicit economic development orientation. (Term paper: Michigan State University)
Esboço de uma Ideologia Comum das Sociedades Industriais Modernas
1959. My first paper at Getulio Vargas Foundation. Despite major conflicts, in a higher level of abstraction industrial societies share a common ideology. (Published only here)
Estímulos externos e eesenvolvimento
1958. My first paper or quasi-paper, prepared to the discussion group organized by Jorge da Cunha Lima, "Porão". (Paper published as FGV/SP apostila and here)
The New Left Viewed from the South
2001. To be left means to be ready to risk social order in behalf of justice. Historically the left moves as the political center cyclically moves from left to right and vice-versa. Portuguese version available. (In Anthony Giddens, ed. The Global Third Way Debate).
Por um Partido Democrático, de Esquerda e Contemporâneo
1995. Discussing PSDB, the paper proposes a definition of what means to be left politically: it means to be able to risk social order in name of social justice. The right always privileges social order. (Paper: Lua Nova)
Development Economics and the World Bank's Identity Crisis
1995. A discussion of development economics ideas and of Word Bank's neo-liberal turn in the early 1980s. Portuguese version available.(Paper: Review of International Political Economy)
Reformas Econômicas em Democracias Recentes: uma abordagem social-democrata
1994. With José María Maravall and Adam Przeworski. The neoliberal economic reforms enacted by Latin America’s and Eastern Europe’s new democracies have proven inefficient and at times even ineffective. This derives both from a lack of political support and from the dogmatic orthodoxy adopted. English version available.(Paper: Dados).
Uma interpretação da América Latina: a crise do Estado
1993. Since 1980 Latin American faced a debt crisis and a crisis of the state, which was also a crisis of the developmentalist interpretation. Now, two competing interpretations are present: the neoliberal Washington Consensus and the fiscal crisis of the state approach. English and French versions available. This is a preliminary version of my chapter in Economic Reforms in New Democracies, 1993. The "fiscal crisis approach" anticipates the 2003 "new developmentalism". (Paper: Novos Estudos CEBRAP )*
De volta ao capital mercantil
1988. A critique of Caio Prado Jr.'s application of the concept of mercantilist capitalism to Brazil after 1930; and also a critique of mercantilist (patrimonial) practices in the Sarney administration. (Paper in book edited by Maria Angela D'Incao)
Mudanças no padrão de financiamento do investimento no Brasil
1987. Investment used to be financed by the state. Yet, given the fiscal crisis of the state, the private sector is supposed to play a more active role. First paper where I discuss the fiscal crisis of the state. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
Inflação inercial e Plano Cruzado
1986. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. "Inflação inercial e choque heterodoxo in Brazil" written with Y.Nakano is a similar work. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política)
As Contradições da Inflação Brasileira
1980. Brazilian inflation is consequence of distributive conflict involving the transference of income from the poor to the rich. Monopolist and monopsonist power facilitates such transference. (Paper: Encontros com a Civilização Brasileira)
Problemas da agricultura brasileira e suas causas
1964. An large picture of the Brazilian agriculture in the early 1960s.(Paper: Journal of Inter-American Studies)
 
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