Filtrar por:

Inflação: inércia e déficit público

Fernando de Holanda Barbosa (2004) “Inflation: inertia and the public deficit”. Paper in the Festricht of Bresser-Pereira, Em Busca do Novo. (Paper in edited book)

A Inflação Decifrada

1996. An account of the theory of inertial inflation original development in São Paulo (FGV) and Rio de Janeiro (PUC) in the early 1980s (Paper in Revista de Economia Política). *

Contra a Corrente: A Experiência no Ministério da Fazenda

1992. Revised version of the testimony to IUPERJ on the author's experience as Finance Minister in Brazil: the major crisis, the “Bresser Plan”, and the negotiation of the foreign debt. Non revised version available in French. (In Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais”)

Hyper-inflation et stabilisation au Brésil: le premier plan Collor

1991. With Yoshiaki Nakano. This paper predicts the failure of the Collor Plan for failing to neutralize inertia, in a moment conventional orthodoxy was sure that it would be successful. English and Portuguese versions available. (Paper: Revue Tiers Monde)

Hiperinflação e estabilização no Brasil: o primeiro Plano Collor

1991. With Yoshiaki Nakano. This paper predicts the failure of the Collor Plan for failing to neutralize inertia, in a moment conventional orthodoxy was sure that it would be successful. English and French versions available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *

Resíduo inflacionário pós-congelamento e política monetária

1991. With Yoshiaki Nakano. A successful estabilization of high and inertial inflation will depend on the size of the 'inflationary residuum' left after a price freeze is undertaken. Examples in the Collor I and II stabilization plans. (Paper in book edited by Clovis de Faro)

O tigre não morreu (Folha, 27.05.90)

1990. As early as April I said that the Plano Collor failed to control high inflation, despite its strong fiscal and monetary adjustment. (Article: Folha de S.Paulo, 27/5)

Da inflação à hiperinflação: Uma abordagem estruturalista

1990. Between high inertial inflation and hyperiflation we have the present 'indexated hyperinflation' (73%) It is an intermediary stage before full hyperinflation. (Paper in book edited by JM Rego)

O Plano Collor e a volta da inflação

1990. Three months after the Collor Plan, the prediction of its failure. A critique of the monetarist and of the Keynesian explanation only a neo-structuralist approach based on distributive conflict and indexation can explain the return of inflation.(Paper: Indicadores Econômicos FEE)

A teoria da inflação inercial reexaminada

1989. While monetarists emphasize expectation, the strucuturalist theory of inertial inflation privileges distributive conflict. When prices are being increased in a staggered or indexed way, economic agents cannot change their expectatives: they have to increase prices just to keep their share in income. PUC's Rio de Janeiro group, that participate in the formulation of the theory, are falling in a monetarist trap when they privilege expectations instead of distributive conflict. (Introductory paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)

A aceleração da inflação inercial

1989. Inertial inflation is accelerating in Brazil and threatening to turn into hyperinflation. An explanation of why inertial inflation is rigid is is to be reduced, but tends to increase as distributive conflict increases. (Paper in book edited by José Marcio Rego)

Experiências de um governo

1988. A testimony to IUPERJ (Wanderley Guilherme dos Santos) on the authors experience as Finance Minister of Brazil. Available in French, and also an extended and revised version.(Discussion paper, IUPERJ)

The Theory of Inertial Inflation

1987. With Yoshiaki Nakano. Collected papers on the theory of inertial or indexed inflation. Translation of Inflação e Recessão (1984) with the addition of paper on the 1985 Cruzado Plan. (Book: Lynne Rienner Publishers)

Inertial inflation and the Cruzado Plan

1987. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. Portuguese version available.(Paper: World Development)

Inflação inercial e Plano Cruzado

1986. Paper written a four months after the Cruzado Plan was lauched to control inertial inflation. The two main dangers the plan was facing were relative prices desiquilibria left by the plan and an increasing budget deficit. “Inflação inercial e choque heterodoxo in Brazil” written with Y.Nakano is a similar work. English version available.(Paper: Revista de Economia Política)